|
PCs
are becoming so commonplace that I expect we'll
soon see them priced by the pound at the local supermarket.
This is due in large part to the Internet, which
has dramatically expanded most people's awareness
of computer technology. Before the World Wide Web
exploded onto the scene, most people's involvement
with computers was in the workplace. Now, we use
the Internet to communicate with friends and family
(how did we ever do without E-mail, anyway?), and
the Web to obtain information about practically
everything in the galaxy. Looking ahead, the growing
world of E-commerce seems to have grabbed the spotlight
- probably because that's where the money is - but
I've got a few questions.
First, a bit of a digression. While the basic functions
of the Internet and the Web are pretty much what
their developers envisioned, management guru/historian
extraordinaire Peter Drucker points out in a recent
Atlantic Monthly article that E-commerce - perhaps
the most significant development of the Information
Age - was not really envisioned by the prognosticators.
This is somewhat curious, although history is littered
with similar stories; the example Drucker uses in
his article is that of the railroad, which although
completely unprecedented was one of the most important
developments to come out of the Industrial Revolution.
Anyway, the word is that E-commerce is the Next
Big Thing, that we'll all be buying more and more
things online. Why is this? And although E-commerce
is another "sales channel," as they say - probably
the ultimate one - does all merchandise fit into
an online sales model? My gut says no - but then
I ask what really differentiates merchandise in
this regard? And I can't really answer the question.
Convenience is one of the reasons E-commerce is
becoming such a big deal. Convenience is also one
of the main reasons for the success of catalog sales
over the last 10 or 15 years. Many retailers will
tell you their studies indicate that convenience
has become incredibly important; in fact, some customers
even rate it higher than selection and price. And,
if you think about it, the convenience quest began
long ago; supermarkets and shopping malls are both
manifestations of the desire to make shopping more
convenient.
So - does this mean we're too busy? Whatever happened
to the idea that technology was going to turn us
into kings and queens of leisure? George Jetson
may have only been a cartoon character, but I still
recall how he reflected a tough day spent at the
office. He'd come home with a sore finger and complain
about how many buttons he had to push that day.
(Kind of amazing to think that those Hanna-Barbera
animators foresaw an early version of carpal tunnel
syndrome...)
Anyway, I AM trying to ask a serious question or
two here. What the hell are we so busy doing in
this world of laborsaving devices that we've created?
Have we become trapped by technology, or captured
by consumerism? Or are we working more to provide
our kids with all the things we didn't have in our
collective childhood? Are we working more because
we're becoming a society of haves and have-nots
with virtually no middle ground, and we're desperately
trying to stay on the side of the haves? Or perhaps
one of my too-much-wine-late-at-night theories is
really true - we're approaching a black hole, and
everything really IS speeding up - including us.
E-commerce is happening for lots of reasons, one
being the healthy economy we've enjoyed for the
better part of the last 20 years. Not only has the
bull market provided additional disposable income
for many people, it's also stoked the furnaces of
innovation and technology. These, in turn, have
brought us new products, new markets, and new ways
to sell things.
Still, E-commerce makes me wonder about the other
web, the web of society in which we live. The neighborhood,
the grocery store, the dry cleaners, the hardware
store - these are all vital parts of our societal
web, because they provide places for people to interact
with each other in a variety of ways. As scribes
were put out of business by the printing press,
so will other businesses be affected by the emergence
of E-commerce. Nevertheless, sometimes I think the
hype gets a bit out of hand. Social interaction
is important to our collective well being, and the
traditional marketplace provides a setting for us
to interact with other people. Virtual interaction
is not the same thing.
The
convenience issue intrigues me, though. Do more
and more people feel they don't have enough time
to go out? Or is it the hassle of driving, parking,
and lack of inventory? In other words, have we lost
control of our lives so much that we can't go out?
Or has our world become so crowded and our physical
infrastructures so inadequate that we just don't
want to?
Copyright ©
1999 Stephen Wacker
Contact
Stephen Wacker at swacker@accessone.com
regarding use of this copyrighted material.
Stephen
Wacker writes about technology, culture and society.
His career as an information technology professional
has focused primarily on communications and the
Internet. Mr. Wacker also writes about contemporary
popular music and is an accomplished songwriter
and guitarist.
|